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亚博开奖结果_决定中超冠军的"黑手"!上港压恒大夺冠最热门 鲁能没戏



发布日期:2021-03-26 00:36:01 发布者:Admin5  点击率:

Netease Sports reported on October 16:

网易体育10月16日报道

With water on one side and flame on the other, the eight teams in the Dalian Division have to struggle for survival, while the eight teams in the Suzhou Division have to work hard for the championship.

一方面是水,另一方面是火焰,大连分区的八支球队必须为生存而奋斗,而苏州分区的八支球队则必须为冠军而努力。

Guangzhou Evergrande, Beijing

Guangzhou ever感染的, Beijing

Who will end up on the championship podium? Is it Evergrande’s 9th championship, or SIPG or Guoan’s 2nd championship, or Suning’s first championship? The final result will be announced on November 12, but this does not prevent us from analyzing and forecasting in advance.

谁将最终进入冠军领奖台?是恒大的第9个冠军,还是SIPG或国安的第2个冠军,还是苏宁的第一个冠军?最终结果将于11月12日宣布,但这并不妨碍我们提前进行分析和预测。

Different from previous years, this year's league champions will be decided through the elimination rounds of the tournament system, a total of 3 rounds and 6 rounds of elimination.

与往年不同,今年的联赛冠军将通过淘汰赛的比赛系统决定,共有3轮和6轮淘汰。

There is a clear difference between the league system and the knockout system. The league system tests the overall strength of the team. At this level, Guangzhou Evergrande is obviously more suitable for the league system because they have the strongest overall, strongest lineup, and diversified tactics. Facing different opponents, there is a corresponding tactical system, which can play offensive football or counter-defense. In the knockout format, Evergrande will not suffer, but the advantages are not so obvious.

联赛系统和淘汰赛系统之间有明显的区别。联赛系统测试球队的整体实力。在这个级别上,广州恒大显然更适合联赛体系,因为它们拥有最强的整体实力,最强的阵容和多种战术。面对不同的对手,有一套相应的战术体系,可以打进攻性足球或进行防守。在淘汰赛中,恒大不会遭受损失,但优势并不那么明显。

However, the knockout system is more friendly to defensive teams, and teams with good defense will also have a psychological advantage in the knockouts. At this level, SIPG, including Suning, will have more opportunities.

但是,淘汰赛系统对防守球队更为友好,防守良好的球队在淘汰赛中也将具有心理优势。在这个水平上,包括苏宁在内的SIPG将有更多机会。

It should be noted that each round of the elimination round is two rounds. Although there are nominal home and away games, because they are concentrated in one division, there is no concept of away goals. If the two sides win and lose, they need Compare the number of goals. If they are still the same, overtime and penalty kicks are required.

应当注意,淘汰轮的每一轮都是两轮。尽管存在名义上的主客场比赛,但由于它们集亚博开奖结果中在一个分区中,因此没有客场进球的概念。如果双方获胜,则需要比较目标数。如果它们仍然相同,则需要加班和罚球。

决定中超冠军的黑手!上港压恒大夺冠最热门 鲁能没戏

Another X factor is the referee. From the perspective of the first stage of the league, individual teams are the beneficiaries of the referee’s penalties. It needs to be explained that this does not mean that these teams have done any public relations, or that the leaders of the Football Association have done anything. What is the hint, but the reason why these teams benefited is actually very important because the referees are "passionate": some referees will take care of individual teams in the hope of obtaining the so-called "recognition", and some referees are not. Will deliberately take care, but because of "worry", will be very concerned about the misjudgment of individual teams.

另一个X因素是裁判。从联赛第一阶段的角度来看,单个球队是裁判员处罚的受益者。需要说明的是,这并不意味着这些球队已经做过任何公共关系,也不意味着足球协会的领导者已经做过任何事情。提示是什么,但是这些球队受益的原因实际上非常重要,因为裁判们“热情”:有些裁判会照顾各个球队,以期获得所谓的“认可”,而有些裁判却没有。 。会故意保重,但由于“烦恼”,会非常担心个别球队的误判。

Once and again, individual teams naturally become beneficiaries. Therefore, this will also become a very important X factor in the second stage of the championship.

一次又一次,各个团队自然会成为受益者。因此,这也将成为冠军赛第二阶段非常重要的X因素。

SIPG is the first in Group B. Its opponent Shanghai Shenhua in the first round is more likely to win. After all, Shenhua's situation is relatively bad, especially with many foreign aid problems. In the second round, SIPG has a high probability of playing against Suning, because Suning played against Chongqing Dangdai in the first round, and Dangdai lent its core foreign aid to R&F. The possibility of blocking Suning is very small. As for SIPG and Suning, SIPG has a clear advantage in past records.

SIPG是B组第一个。第一轮的对手上海申花更有可能获胜。毕竟,申花的情况相对较差,特别是在许多外援问题上。在第亚博开奖结果二轮中,SIPG极有可能与苏宁对决,因为苏宁在第一轮中与重庆当代对决,而当代将其核心外援提供给富力。阻止苏宁的可能性很小。对于SIPG和苏宁而言,SIPG在过去的记录中具有明显的优势。

决定中超冠军的黑手!上港压恒大夺冠最热门 鲁能没戏

Therefore, it is the least difficult for SIPG to advance to the finals, and opponents need to fight against each other. For example, Guoan must fight Luneng first, and the winner must fight Hengda before the final winner will enter the final.

因此,SIPG晋级决赛最困难,而对手则需要互相对抗。例如,国安必须首先与鲁能作战,获胜者必须与恒大作战,然后最终获胜者进入决赛。

The most optimistic situation is that Guoan defeated Luneng and Evergrande all the way to enter the final. SIPG played against Guoan in the final. Why is it the most optimistic? The reason is that SIPG has won 7 consecutive victories against Guoan in the previous 7 games and is the No. 1 "Guoan Nemesis".

最乐观的情况是国安一路打败了鲁能和恒大进入决赛。 SIPG在决赛中与国安队对决。为什么它是最乐观的?原因是SIPG在过去的7场比赛中已经连续7场对阵国安队赢得了胜利,并且是“国安克星”的第一名。

Of course, SIPG is not without problems. The salary cut before the season once put the team into rotation. At that time, foreign players directly expressed their dissatisfaction. The team performed extremely badly in the warm-up match.

当然,SIPG并非没有问题。本赛季之前的减薪曾经使球队轮换。当时,外国选手直接表达了不满。球队在热身赛中表现极差。

In the league, SIPG is also unstable, mainly due to a single tactic, always being tied or defeated by the middle and lower teams. In addition, the state of foreign aid Hulk is not very good. His playing time in the first stage is not very good. In addition, it is a contract year. He will leave SIPG at the end of the year. During the game, he has also changed his fierce playing style. It seems to have a taste of healthy football. In the past, SIPG’s tactical system was based on Hulk. At the core, this is a hidden worry for SIPG.

在联赛中,SIPG也是不稳定的,主要是由于采用了一种战术,总是被中低档球队捆绑或击败。另外,绿巨人的外援状况不是很好。他在第一阶段的上场时间不是很好。另外,亚博平台APP这是一个合同年。他将在今年年底离开SIPG。在比赛期间,他还改变了他的猛烈打法。它似乎具有健康的足球味道。过去,SIPG的战术系统基于绿巨人。从根本上讲,这是SIPG的隐忧。

However, Hulk still maintained a minimum professional attitude and competitive state, and also scored 5 goals, the efficiency is still good, and Anautovic has found a sense, the new foreign aid Lopez and Muyi are also Yes, SIPG's strong foreign aid advantage will be an important weight for them to compete for the championship.

但是,绿巨人仍然保持着最低限度的职业态度和竞争状态,也打进了5球,效率还是不错的,安托维奇也有了感觉,洛佩兹和穆伊的新外援也都不错,SIPG强大的外援优势将是对于他们争夺冠军很重要。

What are the core advantages of Evergrande? This starts with Cannavaro’s remarks. He said at the Evergrande media conference that Evergrande’s lineup is not the strongest, and in some places it is not as good as other teams. This sentence came out, many People think that SIPG’s foreign aid is stronger than Evergrande.

恒大的核心优势是什么?首先是卡纳瓦罗的讲话。他在恒大媒体发布会上说,恒大的阵容不是最强,在某些地方还不如其他球队。这句话出来了,很多人认为SIPG的对外援助要比恒大强大。

决定中超冠军的黑手!上港压恒大夺冠最热门 鲁能没戏

SIPG’s foreign aid is stronger than Evergrande. However, Evergrande also has naturalized players Jiang Guangtai and Exon, both of whom are foreign-aided, and Evergrande’s local players are actually stronger than SIPG. Look, Evergrande’s lineup is still stronger than SIPG. What's more, Evergrande’s lineup is definitely stronger than SIPG.

SIPG的对外援助要比恒大强大。但是,恒大也已经归化了姜光泰和埃克森的球员,他们都是外国援手,而恒大的本地球员实际上比SIPG强。看,恒大的阵容仍然比SIPG强。更重要的是,恒大的阵容肯定比SIPG强。

In terms of tactics, Evergrande can play offensive football and defensive counterattacks. Whether it is against weak or strong teams, the record is very good and the adaptability is stronger.

在战术上,恒大可以打进攻性足球和防守反击。无论是对弱队还是对强队,战绩都很出色,适应能力更强。

But these overall advantages will have obvious advantages in a normal league, but in the knockouts, this advantage will not be so obvious.

但是,这些一般优势在普通联赛中将具有明显的优势,但是在淘汰赛中,这种优势不会那么明显。

In the past two years, there have been 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Guoan, 2 wins and 2 losses against SIPG, and the winning rate is only 50%. For Evergrande, the first level and China are very easy, but then there is a high probability that Guoan and Guoan In SIPG's fight, whether it can win consecutively is unknown.

在过去的两年中,对国安队取得了2胜1平1负,对SIPG取得了2胜2负,胜率只有50%。对于恒大来说,第一级和中国都很容易,但是国安和国安在SIPG的争夺中很有可能连续获胜。

Therefore, Evergrande’s winning probability is actually slightly inferior to SIPG.

因此,恒大的获胜概率实际上不及SIPG。

Evergrande’s probability of winning is not as good as SIPG. For Guoan, the probability of winning is even worse than Evergrande.

恒大获胜的可能性不及SIPG。对于国安来说,获胜的可能性甚至比恒大更差。

决定中超冠军的黑手!上港压恒大夺冠最热门 鲁能没戏

In terms of external factors, the schedule is the biggest difficulty for Guoan. To win the championship, Guoan needs to face the three hurdles of Luneng, Evergrande (high probability) and SIPG (high probability). Among them, Luneng is still the best to play. Originally, Luneng was also Guoan. Nemesis, from mid-2016 to the end of 2019, Guoan has not beaten Luneng for 40 months, but Luneng is currently suffering from domestic and foreign difficulties. Guoan's strength is superior, and it is reasonable to defeat Luneng.

就外部因素而言,日程安排是国安最大的困难。要赢得冠军,国安需要面对鲁能,恒大(高概率)和SIPG(高概率)的三个障碍。其中,鲁能仍然是最佳球员。鲁能原本也是国安。复仇女神,从2016年中至2019年底,国安队已经40个月没有击败鲁能了,但鲁能目前正遭受国内外困境的困扰。国安的实力优越,击败鲁能是合理的。

But Evergrande is not easy to pass this level. More importantly, after Evergrande faces SIPG, as mentioned in the previous article, Guoan lost 7 consecutive games against SIPG in the last 7 games. Therefore, it is too difficult for Guoan to win the championship.

但是恒大不容易通过这个水平。更重要的是,如前一篇文章所述,在恒大面对SIPG之后,国安在过去7场比赛中连续7场对SIPG输掉比赛。因此,国安队很难获得冠军。

In fact, the best national security still has a chance, but it is obviously not the best national security now. From the first stage, the national security is certainly affected by the late return of foreign aid, but the team has never shown a stable state. Good times and bad. In addition, Guoan’s signings from last year to this year are very restrained, which seems to mean that the club’s investment is shrinking. All this shows that Guoan is not stable within.

实际上,最好的国家安全仍然有机会,但是现在显然不是最好的国家安全。从第一阶段开亚博平台APP始,国家安全肯定会受到外国援助迟交的影响,但该队从未表现出稳定的状态。好日子和坏日子。此外,国安从去年到今年的签约非常受限制,这似乎意味着该俱乐部的投资正在萎缩。这一切表明国安内部并不稳定。

Guoan's poor performance in the first stage, many media and fans have shirk the responsibility to the head coach, but in fact, the instability of Guoan is not just a problem for the head coach.

国安队在第一阶段的表现不佳,许多媒体和球迷都推卸了主教练的责任,但实际上,国安队的不稳定不仅仅是主教练的问题。

Among other teams, I am afraid that only Suning will have some opportunities. After all, Suning's overall strength is still very strong, and local players and foreign aid are also good. If it is a normal league, Suning will naturally have no chance, but this kind of knockout, three rounds When the game decides the champion, Suning naturally has some opportunities, especially since they have been playing well in defense.

在其他团队中,恐怕只有苏宁会拥有一些机会。毕竟,苏宁的综合实力仍然很强,本地球员和外援也都不错。如果是正常联赛,苏宁自然就没有机会,但是这种三轮淘汰赛,当比赛决定冠军时,苏宁自然就有机会,尤其是因为他们在防守方面表现出色。

决定中超冠军的黑手!上港压恒大夺冠最热门 鲁能没戏

Luneng’s chances are not great. This is also a problem of the schedule. Luneng needs to face Guoan, Evergrande (high probability) and SIPG (high probability), and may capsize at any time. In fact, Luneng’s strength is not bad, but it has just changed coaches. The club also has a shareholding change, which will definitely have a greater impact on the team's mentality, so the probability of Luneng winning the championship is small.

鲁能的机会并不大。这也是日程安排的问题。鲁能需要面对国安,恒大(高概率)和SIPG(高概率),并且可能会随时翻覆。实际上,鲁能的实力还不错,但它改变了教练的面貌。俱乐部也有股份变更,这肯定会对球队的心态产生更大的影响,因此鲁能赢得冠军的可能性很小。

Shenhua's strength is not good, mainly because the foreign aid is not very good. Whether the new foreign aid can perform is also unknown. The key is that it is not easy for Shenhua to pass the Shanghai SIPG. Then it will face Suning with a high probability, and finally with a high probability. Evergrande is very difficult.

神华的实力不好,主要是因为外援不是很好。新的外国援助能否执行还不得而知。关键是申花要通过上海SIPG并不容易。然后,它将以很高的概率面对苏宁,最后有很高的概率。恒大非常困难。

As for Chongqing Dangdai and Huaxia Fortune, there is basically no chance of winning. Chongqing Dangdai has rented core foreign aid and basically gave up. China Fortune is playing against Evergrande, Gao Lat avoids, and Zhang Chengdong is absent. China Fortune is very sad for Evergrande. turn off.

至于重庆当代和华夏财富,基本上没有获胜的机会。重庆当贷已租用核心外援并基本放弃。 《中国财富》正在与恒大对决,高拉回避了,张成东不在了。 《中国财富》让恒大感到非常难过。关掉。

In general, the 2020 season's championship will have a high probability between Shanghai SIPG and Evergrande. Guoan and Suning also have a smaller probability of winning.

总体而言,上海SIPG和恒大之间2020赛季的总冠军率很高。国安和苏宁也有较小的获胜机率。

 
 
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